Stormy Skies Scenario

How to Manage “Probabilities” in the Role of Facilitator: Create Ranges

Probabilities consist of commonly held assumptions, beliefs, and outlooks about some future state or condition. Forward looking deliverables such as five-year plans and shaping curves rely exclusively on the concept of probabilities, since no future state is certain. How can a facilitator help resolve arguments around conflicting probabilities, particularly when evidence supports multiple outcomes? Create…